Stop-at-a-Winner Staking Plan Calculator (AUD)
Chase a small target sized to your expected losing run; one winner banks it.
Stop-at-a-winner aims at a modest target — a small slice of your bank — and sizes each stake so a single winner at your odds bags it. Win and the cycle restarts; lose and the next stake nudges up toward the same target.
Set the target and play a sequence: the plan spreads the recovery over the losing run you’d normally expect at your odds.
How it works
The recovery is divided over the number of losses you’d typically see before a win (drawn from the exact losing-run maths), so the escalation is gentler than a martingale while still chasing a fixed goal.
It’s still a recovery plan: a longer-than-normal cold run lifts the stake. Keep the target small relative to the bank, and use the Losing Streak calculator to sanity-check the run length you’re sizing for.
stake = remaining target ÷ expected losing run; a win banks the target and restarts.
Worked example
- The plan spreads the $100 target across your expected losing run.
- A single winner at the odds clears the target — then it resets.
- A longer cold run lifts the stake toward the same goal.
Play a sequence above to see the recovery spread.
FAQ
- What is a stop-at-a-winner plan?
- A recovery plan that targets a small profit and sizes stakes so one winner reaches it, then restarts. Losses raise the next stake toward the same target.
- How is the stake sized?
- The remaining target is divided over the losing run you’d typically expect at your odds, so the chase is spread rather than doubled.
- Can it still lose?
- Yes — a run longer than the one it’s sized for lifts the stake, and no plan beats the house edge. Keep the target small and size for realistic streaks.
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