Stop guessing whether you're winning.
Track every bet, measure your closing-line value, and backtest staking plans against your own history — free.
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Six staking plans. The same 500 bets. Three ended at zero.
One run from Proving Ground, seed 1. The bets underneath were a losing book — struck 32.2% at average odds of $2.94, where break-even is 34.0%. No staking plan fixed that. All they changed was how much of the bank survived the variance.
Fibonacci was the best performer on the chart for most of the run — it turned $1,000 into roughly $33,000 just past halfway. Then a 13-bet losing run arrived and it finished at zero. Not drawn down. Zero, with nothing left to bet. The plan that finished in front was the dullest one: up 3.4%, with a worst drawdown of 15% against Fibonacci's 100%.
One ordering proves nothing
Shuffle those same 500 bets 500 times — same bets, same strike rate, only the order changes — and count how often each plan runs out of bank. Someone who says a progression “worked for them” is usually telling the truth: they lived in one of the orderings where it did.
Share of 500 reshuffles in which each plan ran out of bank.
Load seed 1 and you get these figures to the cent. Your own history will say something different — that is the point of running it.
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Bring your own selections; OutlayHQ does the money management. Tools marked Grail are the proprietary systems.
The Grail Systems
Six staking systems — Compound, Edge Protocol, Regal, Resurgence, The Mint and Apex — drawn from original sources decades old, rebuilt faithfully and verified against their source workouts. Available nowhere else, and testable: backtest them against your own betting history in Proving Ground. Every punter chases the holy grail; we don’t claim these are it — we give you the machine to find out.
See The Grail →How it works
Sign in with your email. No card needed to start.
Size and manage your stakes with the right calculator or staking tool for the job.
Track every bet and measure your P&L, ROI and closing-line value over time.
What you can actually do with it
Real betting scenarios — the honest-maths way.
Log their picks at level stakes and see the real return — before any staking trick flatters it.
Open the Bet Tracker →Backtest any staking plan on your own history in Proving Ground, then size your bank for the losing runs in Bankroll Variance.
Open Proving Ground →Run it in the Bet Tracker with real odds and no money down — your P&L and closing-line value tell you if it works.
Open the Bet Tracker →Six original staking systems, rebuilt and verified against their source workouts, at full depth on The Grail.
See The Grail →Built to be trustworthy
OutlayHQ does the maths around your own selections. It never places bets, takes money, or tells you what to back.
Records are private to your account with row-level security, hosted in Australia, and rebuilt from a full history you can trust.
Set a daily loss limit or a cool-off, with the National Gambling Helpline one tap away.
Fast, native-feeling, and just as good on desktop. Light and dark themes included.
What it costs
Free is not a trial. It stays free.
Every public calculator and all the classic staking plans. Prove the maths works.
Or A$119/yr. Your real betting: full Bet Tracker, CLV, and backtests on your own history.
Or A$249/yr. Adds the six original staking systems at full depth.
Capped at 50 people in total. No charge now — this registers your interest, and we email you when it opens.
Prices in AUD and include GST where applicable. Billing is not live yet.
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One email a month, no tips, ever — just bankroll-management ideas and tools.