Target Profit Staking Plan Calculator (AUD)
Stake exactly enough to recoup the shortfall to a fixed target at the odds. ⚠
⚠ High ruin risk. The target-profit plan sizes every stake so a win at the offered odds takes you to a fixed target. While you’re behind, that stake is large — it has to make up everything in one hit — so a cold run escalates fast.
Set the target and play a sequence to see how the recovery stake balloons after losses. This is the same risk family as the Martingale.
How it works
The stake is the remaining gap to your target divided by (odds − 1), so the longer the price the smaller the stake — but the deeper your drawdown, the larger the required bet. Each loss widens the gap and lifts the next stake.
Hitting the target completes the series and restarts it. The danger is identical to other recovery plans: a longer-than-normal losing run demands bets your bank can’t fund. Carry it like Martingale — understand exactly what you’re risking.
stake = max(0, target − profit so far) ÷ (odds − 1); series completes when the target is reached.
Worked example
- No profit yet → $50 ÷ ($3.00 − 1) = $25.
- A $25 loss widens the gap → next stake $75 ÷ 2 = $37.50.
- Each loss lifts the recovery stake — a cold run escalates quickly.
Tap Loss above to watch the recovery stake climb.
FAQ
- How does a target-profit plan work?
- Each stake is sized so a single win at the odds reaches a fixed profit target. While you’re behind, the required stake is large because it must recover everything at once.
- Why is it high risk?
- Like the Martingale, it stakes the most exactly when you’re losing. A longer-than-normal cold run quickly demands bets bigger than your bank.
- Longer odds or shorter?
- Longer odds need a smaller stake to reach the target (you’re dividing by a bigger number), but winners are rarer, so the losing runs you must survive get longer.
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